Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 2-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.

Result
Varnamo	Draw	Hammarby
28.47% ( -1.14)	24.2% ( -0.57)	47.33% ( 1.72)

Both teams to score 57.37% (

1.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.21% (

1.88)

44.79% (

-1.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.85% (

1.79)

67.15% (

-1.79)

Varnamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.87% (

0.16)

29.13% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.94% (

0.19)

65.06% (

-0.19)

Hammarby Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.95% (

1.49)

19.05% (

-1.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.37% (

2.4)

50.64% (

-2.4)

Score Analysis

Varnamo 28.47%

Hammarby 47.33%

Draw 24.19%

Varnamo	Draw	Hammarby
2-1 @ 7% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.54) 2-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.31) 3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.41% Total : 28.47%	1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.46) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.19%	1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 5.2% ( 0.32) 0-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.21) 1-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.22) 0-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.17) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.14) Other @ 3.23% Total : 47.33%