Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 18
Aug 11, 2024 at 3pm UK
Studenternas IP

Sirius
3 - 1
Kalmar

Persson (47'), Milleskog (52'), Lindberg (57')
Castegren (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Skrabb (77' pen.)
Chijioke Osuji (49'), Islamovic (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Sirius and Kalmar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sirius

All competitions
Last Game: Varnamo 2-4 Sirius
Sunday, August 4 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Kalmar

All competitions
Last Game: Kalmar 1-4 Hammarby
Sunday, August 4 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.

Result
SiriusDrawKalmar
49.32% (1.285 1.29)22.72% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)27.96% (-1.207 -1.21)
Both teams to score 62.19% (-0.669 -0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.73% (-0.487 -0.49)38.27% (0.492 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.45% (-0.52099999999999 -0.52)60.55% (0.526 0.53)
Sirius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.2% (0.283 0.28)15.8% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.05% (0.51 0.51)44.95% (-0.504 -0.5)
Kalmar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.86% (-1.041 -1.04)26.14% (1.047 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.78% (-1.422 -1.42)61.22% (1.428 1.43)
Score Analysis
    Sirius 49.32%
    Kalmar 27.96%
    Draw 22.72%
SiriusDrawKalmar
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.117 0.12)
1-0 @ 7.62% (0.248 0.25)
2-0 @ 7.03% (0.292 0.29)
3-1 @ 5.8% (0.126 0.13)
3-0 @ 4.33% (0.218 0.22)
3-2 @ 3.89% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.68% (0.083 0.08)
4-0 @ 2% (0.118 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 49.32%
1-1 @ 10.22% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.33% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.13% (0.096 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.72%
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.188 -0.19)
0-1 @ 5.54% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.72% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 27.96%

How you voted: Sirius vs Kalmar

Sirius
84.6%
Draw
15.4%
Kalmar
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 2
Kalmar
1-2
Sirius
Trenskow (72')
Saetra (45')
Salech (85', 90+5')
Mattiasson (46'), Widgren (54')
Aug 13, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 19
Sirius
3-0
Kalmar
Lindahl (11' og.), Heier (16'), Persson (19')
Widgren (39')

Saetra (40'), Shamoun (78')
May 3, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 6
Kalmar
2-2
Sirius
Rajovic (9', 27')
Matthews (52'), Roche (90+6')
Oct 24, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 28
Sirius
0-0
Kalmar
Jul 10, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 13
Kalmar
1-1
Sirius
Kristjan Olafsson (34')
Larson (12')
Kouakou (10'), Hellborg (39'), Mathisen (47')