Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 19
Aug 17, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Iver Arena (Vasteras)

Vasteras
2 - 1
Kalmar

Granat (62'), Johansson (90+7')
Warneryd (26'), Ahlinvi (81'), Bouzaiene (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Islamovic (45+5')
Saetra (13'), Magashy (57'), Skrabb (71'), Islamovic (81'), Ylatupa (90+5')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Vasteras SK and Kalmar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norrkoping 2-1 Vasteras
Saturday, August 10 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Sirius 3-1 Kalmar
Sunday, August 11 at 3pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasteras SK win with a probability of 49.94%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasteras SK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vasteras SK in this match.

Result
Vasteras SKDrawKalmar
49.94% (-1.372 -1.37)23.26% (0.312 0.31)26.8% (1.061 1.06)
Both teams to score 59.25% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.29% (-0.55 -0.55)41.7% (0.55 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.89% (-0.559 -0.56)64.11% (0.559 0.56)
Vasteras SK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.15% (-0.699 -0.7)16.85% (0.7 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.14% (-1.261 -1.26)46.85% (1.261 1.26)
Kalmar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25% (0.51000000000001 0.51)28.75% (-0.509 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.41% (0.63200000000001 0.63)64.58% (-0.63 -0.63)
Score Analysis
    Vasteras SK 49.94%
    Kalmar 26.8%
    Draw 23.26%
Vasteras SKDrawKalmar
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-0 @ 8.63% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.68% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.68% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-0 @ 4.56% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.03% (-0.146 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.065 -0.07)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 49.94%
1-1 @ 10.75% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.84% (0.119 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 6.7% (0.196 0.2)
0-1 @ 6.04% (0.231 0.23)
0-2 @ 3.76% (0.196 0.2)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.119 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 26.8%

Head to Head
Jun 2, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 12
Kalmar
0-4
Vasteras

Jensen (83'), Jensen (83')
Aslund (16'), Ahlinvi (55', 62'), Offia (89')