Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 17
Aug 3, 2024 at 2pm UK
Iver Arena (Vasteras)

Vasteras
1 - 2
AIK

Granat (41', 41')
Nsabiyumva (45+3'), Nsabiyumva (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-4)
Modesto (25', 25'), Besirovic (34', 34')
Besirovic (45+2'), Besirovic (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Vasteras SK and AIK Fotboll, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hacken 4-0 Vasteras
Sunday, July 28 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: AIK 0-1 GAIS
Monday, July 29 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasteras SK win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for AIK Fotboll had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasteras SK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest AIK Fotboll win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Vasteras SKDrawAIK Fotboll
45.47% (0.465 0.47)23.9% (0.025000000000002 0.03)30.64% (-0.481 -0.48)
Both teams to score 59.82% (-0.345 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.83% (-0.338 -0.34)42.17% (0.345 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.42% (-0.341 -0.34)64.57% (0.34699999999999 0.35)
Vasteras SK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.23% (0.058999999999997 0.06)18.77% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.83% (0.094000000000001 0.09)50.17% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
AIK Fotboll Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.65% (-0.47199999999999 -0.47)26.35% (0.479 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.51% (-0.637 -0.64)61.49% (0.643 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Vasteras SK 45.47%
    AIK Fotboll 30.64%
    Draw 23.89%
Vasteras SKDrawAIK Fotboll
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.048 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.27% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 6.92% (0.129 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.15% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.86% (0.079 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 45.47%
1-1 @ 11.03% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.95% (0.076 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.89%
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-1 @ 6.6% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.96% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 30.64%

How you voted: Vasteras vs AIK

Vasteras SK
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
AIK Fotboll
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 1
AIK
1-0
Vasteras
Modesto (53')
Edh (64'), Saletros (78')

Larsson (52')