Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 15
Jul 22, 2024 at 6pm UK
Gamla Ullevi

GAIS
2 - 0
AIK

Noren (40'), Ahl-Holmstrom (81')
Celik (26'), Amatkarijo (55'), Milosevic (61'), Lindberg (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between GAIS and AIK Fotboll, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sirius 3-1 GAIS
Saturday, July 13 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Halmstad 1-2 AIK
Monday, July 15 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a GAIS win with a probability of 47.66%. A win for AIK Fotboll had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a GAIS win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest AIK Fotboll win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that GAIS would win this match.

Result
GAISDrawAIK Fotboll
47.66% (-1.166 -1.17)25.13% (0.443 0.44)27.2% (0.715 0.72)
Both teams to score 53.37% (-0.829 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.38% (-1.367 -1.37)49.61% (1.36 1.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.36% (-1.239 -1.24)71.63% (1.232 1.23)
GAIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (-1.043 -1.04)20.83% (1.035 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.48% (-1.659 -1.66)53.52% (1.652 1.65)
AIK Fotboll Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.41% (-0.161 -0.16)32.58% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.88% (-0.179 -0.18)69.11% (0.17200000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    GAIS 47.66%
    AIK Fotboll 27.2%
    Draw 25.13%
GAISDrawAIK Fotboll
1-0 @ 10.64% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-0 @ 8.35% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.138 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.128 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 47.66%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.368 0.37)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 7.61% (0.383 0.38)
1-2 @ 6.7% (0.102 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.27% (0.197 0.2)
1-3 @ 2.5% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 27.2%

How you voted: GAIS vs AIK

GAIS
64.2%
Draw
17.9%
AIK Fotboll
17.9%
67