Europa League
Feb 20, 2025 5.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Paulo Dybala 29' yellowcard
  • Paulo Dybala 35' goal
  • Paulo Dybala 39' goal
  • Tiago Djalo 51' yellowcard
  • Niccolo Pisilli 83' goal
  • yellowcard Otavio 26'
  • goal Samu Omorodion 27'
  • yellowcard Nehuen Perez 34'
  • yellowcard 41'
  • redcard Stephen Eustaquio 51'
  • yellowcard Leandro Paredes 86'
  • yellowcard Tomas Perez 90'+3'
  • yellowcard William Gomes Carvalho Santos 90'+3'
  • goal Devyne Rensch 90'+6' (OG)

Roma vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Feb 13, 2025 8.00pm
Porto 1 - 1 Roma

Porto

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Feb 13, 2025 8.00pm
Porto 1 - 1 Roma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Roma had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result

Roma 32.41% (+0.39)
Draw 25.94% (-0.07)
Porto 41.66% (-0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.67% (+0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.45% (+0.37)
Under 2.5 50.55% (-0.37)
Over 3.5 27.53% (+0.33)
Under 3.5 72.47% (-0.32)
Over 4.5 13% (+0.22)
Under 4.5 87% (-0.22)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 70.65% (+0.44)
Under 0.5 29.34% (-0.44)
Over 1.5 34.68% (+0.53)
Under 1.5 65.32% (-0.53)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 75.96%
Under 0.5 24.04%
Over 1.5 41.7% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 58.3% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Roma 32.41%
Draw 25.93%
Porto 41.65%
Roma
1-0 @ 8.65% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 7.56% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 5.3% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.09% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.2% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.17% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 32.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 5.39% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.05% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.93%
Porto
0-1 @ 10.05% (-0.15)
1-2 @ 8.79% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 7.17% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 4.18% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.41% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.56% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.21% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 41.65%

Head to Head

Europa League
Feb 13, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Do Dragao
  • Alan Varela 20' yellowcard
  • Francisco Moura 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Francisco Moura 67' goal
  • Otavio 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Pellegrini 18'
  • yellowcard Zeki Celik 28'
  • yellowcard Kouadio Kone 34'
  • yellowcard Alexis Saelemaekers 45'+2'
  • goal Zeki Celik 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Bryan Cristante 63'
  • redcard Bryan Cristante 72'
  • yellowcard Tommaso Baldanzi 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Leandro Paredes 90'+4'
Champions League Gameweek 8
Mar 6, 2019 8.00pm
3
1
ET
  • Hector Herrera 18' yellowcard
  • Tiquinho 26' goal
  • Danilo Pereira 45' yellowcard
  • Moussa Marega 52' goal
  • Pepe 58' yellowcard
  • Alex Telles 117' goal
  • Alex Telles 118' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolo Zaniolo 15'
  • goal Daniele De Rossi 37'
  • yellowcard Rick Karsdorp 55'
  • yellowcard Edin Dzeko 58'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Pellegrini 81'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Florenzi 116'
Champions League Gameweek 8
Feb 12, 2019 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nicolo Zaniolo 70' goal
  • Nicolo Zaniolo 76' goal
  • Stephan El Shaarawy 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hector Herrera 74'
  • goal Adrian Lopez 79'
Champions League
Aug 23, 2016 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Daniele De Rossi 39' redcard
  • Emerson 50' redcard
  • Gerson 90' yellowcard
  • goal Felipe 8'
  • yellowcard Hector Herrera 14'
  • yellowcard Otavio 31'
  • yellowcard Sergio Oliveira 57'
  • yellowcard Andre Silva 66'
  • goal Miguel Layun 73'
  • goal Jesus Corona 75'
Champions League
Aug 17, 2016 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Andre Silva 61' goal
  • Andre Andre 63' yellowcard
  • Maxi Pereira 95' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kostas Manolas 14'
  • goal Felipe 21' (OG)
  • yellowcard Thomas Vermaelan 28'
  • redcard Thomas Vermaelan 41'
  • yellowcard Kevin Strootman 56'
  • yellowcard Emerson Palmieri 60'
  • yellowcard Daniele De Rossi 95'