Europa League

Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Feb 20, 2025 at 5.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
3 - 2
Porto

(Roma win 4-3 on aggregate)

Dybala (35', 39'), Pisilli (83')
Dybala (29'), Djalo (51')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Omorodion (27'), Rensch (90+6' og.)
Otavio (26'), Perez (34'), (41'), Paredes (86'), Perez (90+3'), Gomes Carvalho Santos (90+3')
Eustaquio (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Roma and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Parma 0-1 Roma
Sunday, February 16 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Porto

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Farense 0-1 Porto
Sunday, February 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Roma had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Porto
32.41% ( 0.38)	25.94% ( -0.06)	41.66% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 53.67% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.45% (

0.36)

50.55% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.53% (

0.32)

72.47% (

-0.32)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.65% (

0.43)

29.34% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.68% (

0.53)

65.32% (

-0.53)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.96%

24.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.7% (

58.3% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Roma 32.41%

Porto 41.65%

Draw 25.93%

Roma	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.41%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.93%	0-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 41.65%