Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 24

Feb 9, 2025 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Venezia
0 - 1
Roma

Fila (10'), Cande (24')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dybala (57' pen.)
Gourna-Douath (9'), Cristante (61'), Celik (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Venezia and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezia

All competitions

Last Game: Udinese 3-2 Venezia
Saturday, February 1 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 3-1 Roma
Wednesday, February 5 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Venezia win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
Venezia	Draw	Roma
28.14% ( -0.42)	26.27% ( -0)	45.59% ( 0.42)

Both teams to score 50.52% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.35% (

-0.2)

53.65% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.86% (

-0.17)

75.14% (

0.17)

Venezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.01% (

-0.43)

33.98% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.33% (

-0.47)

70.66% (

0.46)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.53% (

0.11)

23.47% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.51% (

0.16)

57.49% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Venezia 28.14%

Roma 45.59%

Draw 26.26%

Venezia	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.3% Total : 28.14%	1-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.26%	0-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.78% Total : 45.59%