Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Venezia win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Roma in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Roma.