Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 48.49%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Udinese | Draw | Venezia |
| 48.49% ( | 25.63% ( | 25.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.43% ( | 52.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.78% ( | 74.22% ( |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.3% ( | 21.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.16% ( | 54.84% ( |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.76% ( | 35.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.01% ( | 71.99% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Udinese | Draw | Venezia |
| 1-0 @ 11.68% ( 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 2-0 @ 8.93% ( 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 3-0 @ 4.55% ( 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 4-2 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 48.49% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0-0 @ 7.64% ( 2-2 @ 4.86% ( Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 7.97% ( 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0-2 @ 4.16% ( 1-3 @ 2.21% ( 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 2.04% Total : 25.87% |