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Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 1, 2025 at 2pm UK
Dacia Arena
Venezia

Udinese
3 - 2
Venezia

Lucca (47'), Lovric (52'), Bravo Solanilla (84')
Kamara (51'), Bijol (75'), Lucca (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nicolussi (64'), Gytkjaer (78')
Haps (50'), Steinn Bjarkason (90+2'), Yeboah (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Venezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 1-2 Roma
Sunday, January 26 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Venezia 1-1 Hellas Verona
Monday, January 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 48.49%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawVenezia
48.49% (0.071999999999996 0.07)25.63% (-0.026 -0.03)25.87% (-0.049000000000003 -0.05)
Both teams to score 50.71% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.43% (0.067 0.07)52.56% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.78% (0.059999999999999 0.06)74.22% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.3% (0.058000000000007 0.06)21.69% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.16% (0.091999999999999 0.09)54.84% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)35.24% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)71.99% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 48.49%
    Venezia 25.87%
    Draw 25.63%
UdineseDrawVenezia
1-0 @ 11.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.93% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.74% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.55% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.81% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 48.49%
1-1 @ 12.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.64% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 7.97% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 25.87%

How you voted: Udinese vs Venezia

Udinese
75.0%
Draw
20.8%
Venezia
4.2%
24
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Venezia
3-2
Udinese
Pohjanpalo (41' pen., 86' pen.), Nicolussi (56')
Nicolussi (11'), Haps (70'), Oristanio (90+6')
Lovric (19'), Bravo Solanilla (25')
Payero (17'), Gianetti (40'), Karlstrom (90+5'), Bijol (90+5')
Toure (53')
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 32
Venezia
1-2
Udinese
Henry (86')
Busio (2'), Cuisance (18'), Haps (28'), Henry (59'), Ceccaroni (61'), Ampadu (74'), Nani (77')
Deulofeu (35' pen.), Becao (90+4')
Arslan (18'), Udogie (62')
Aug 27, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Udinese
3-0
Venezia
Pussetto (29'), Deulofeu (70'), Molina (90+3')
Samir (74'), Okaka (85')

Heymans (52'), Vacca (77'), Schnegg (90')