Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Como would win this match.
Result | ||
Como | Draw | Udinese |
41.95% (![]() | 27.44% (![]() | 30.61% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.37% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.97% (![]() | 57.03% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.08% (![]() | 77.92% (![]() |
Como Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.18% (![]() | 26.82% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.89% (![]() | 62.11% (![]() |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.1% (![]() | 33.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.43% (![]() | 70.57% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Como | Draw | Udinese |
1-0 @ 11.96% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.52% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.87% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.74% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.45% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 2.02% Total : 41.95% | 1-1 @ 12.94% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.09% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.61% ( ![]() Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.44% | 0-1 @ 9.84% (![]() 1-2 @ 7% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.32% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.66% ( ![]() Other @ 2.35% Total : 30.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 16 | 22 | 54 |
2 | Inter Milan | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 56 | 22 | 34 | 51 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 26 | 23 | 47 |
4 | Juventus | 24 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 43 |
5 | Fiorentina | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 42 |
6 | Lazio | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 42 |
7 | Bologna | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 37 |
8 | AC Milan | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 35 |
9 | Roma | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 31 |
10 | Udinese | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 29 |
11 | Torino | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
12 | Genoa | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 26 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 23 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 23 |
14 | Lecce | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 23 |
15 | Como | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Empoli | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 21 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 21 |
18 | Parma | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 23 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |