Serie A Gameweek 19
Jan 14, 2025 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
  • Assane Diao 60' goal
  • Marc-Oliver Kempf 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alvaro Morata 20'
  • yellowcard Ismael Bennacer 33'
  • yellowcard Malick Thiaw 43'
  • yellowcard Alex Jimenez 53'
  • yellowcard Yunus Musah 56'
  • goal Theo Hernandez 71'
  • goal Rafael Leao 76'
  • yellowcard Rafael Leao 85'

Como vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Como

All competitions
Last game
Jan 10, 2025 7.45pm
Lazio 1 - 1 Como
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Assane Diao

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Jan 11, 2025 7.45pm
AC Milan 1 - 1 Cagliari
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Christian Pulisic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Como had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result

Como 32.59% (-0.01)
Draw 26.13% (-0.01)
AC Milan 41.27% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.1% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.68% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 51.31% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 26.86% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 73.14% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 12.56% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 87.44% (-0.03)

Como Goals

Over 0.5 70.4% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 29.59% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 34.37% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 65.63% (-0.02)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 75.43% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 24.57% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 40.94% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 59.05% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Como 32.59%
Draw 26.12%
AC Milan 41.26%
Como
1-0 @ 8.85% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.57% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.39% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-0 @ 2.19% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.16% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 32.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.27% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.31% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.12%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 10.2% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.72% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.16%
1-3 @ 4.08% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.35% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.49% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.43% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.18% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 41.26%