Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Como had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.