Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 19

Jan 14, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Como
1 - 2
AC Milan

Diao (60')
Kempf (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hernandez (71'), Leao (76')
Morata (20'), Bennacer (33'), Thiaw (43'), Jimenez (53'), Musah (56'), Leao (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Como and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Como

All competitions

Last Game: Lazio 1-1 Como
Friday, January 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Cagliari
Saturday, January 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Como had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Como	Draw	AC Milan
32.59% ( -0.01)	26.13% ( -0.01)	41.27% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 53.1% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.68% (

0.03)

51.31% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.86% (

0.03)

73.14% (

-0.03)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.4% (

0.01)

29.59% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.37% (

0.01)

65.63% (

-0.01)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.43% (

0.02)

24.57% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.94% (

0.03)

59.05% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Como 32.59%

AC Milan 41.26%

Draw 26.12%

Como	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.39% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.59%	1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.12%	0-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.16% 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.35% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 41.26%