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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 14, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Milan logo

Como
1 - 2
AC Milan

Diao (60')
Kempf (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hernandez (71'), Leao (76')
Morata (20'), Bennacer (33'), Thiaw (43'), Jimenez (53'), Musah (56'), Leao (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Como and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 1-1 Como
Friday, January 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Cagliari
Saturday, January 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Como 1-1 AC Milan

Milan are still finding their feet under new management - having relied more on spirit and fortune than structure to win the Supercoppa Italiana - so they may fail to beat their regional rivals. If Como can produce their best level, they should have the guile to score at least once and claim a precious point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Como had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Como win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
ComoDrawAC Milan
32.59% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 26.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 41.27% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.1% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.68% (0.028999999999996 0.03)51.31% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.86% (0.027000000000001 0.03)73.14% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.4% (0.010999999999996 0.01)29.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.37% (0.012999999999998 0.01)65.63% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.43% (0.021000000000001 0.02)24.57% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.94% (0.030000000000001 0.03)59.05% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Como 32.59%
    AC Milan 41.26%
    Draw 26.12%
ComoDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 8.85% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.57% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 5.39% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-0 @ 2.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 32.59%
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 10.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.16%
1-3 @ 4.08% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 3.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 41.26%

How you voted: Como vs AC Milan

Como
16.3%
Draw
17.8%
AC Milan
65.9%
135
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli25175341192256
2Inter Milan24166258233554
3Atalanta BCAtalanta25156454262851
4Lazio25144747341346
5Juventus241013141212043
6Fiorentina25126741271442
7AC Milan24118536241241
8Bologna24101133829941
9Roma2510783629737
10Udinese2596103237-533
11Torino2561092731-428
12Genoa246992233-1127
13Como2567123040-1025
14CagliariCagliari2567122639-1325
15Lecce2567121841-2325
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2572162654-2823
17Empoli2549122238-1621
18Parma2548133045-1520
19VeneziaVenezia2437142239-1716
20Monza2528152139-1814


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