Juventus logo
Supercoppa Italiana | Semi-Finals
Jan 3, 2025 at 7pm UK
King Saud University Stadium
Milan logo

Juventus
1 - 2
AC Milan

Yildiz (21')
McKennie (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pulisic (71' pen.), Gatti (75' og.)
Emerson (79'), Pulisic (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Supercoppa Italiana clash between Juventus and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 2-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, December 29 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Roma
Sunday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
JuventusDrawAC Milan
41.14% (0.174 0.17)25.97% (0.321 0.32)32.89% (-0.488 -0.49)
Both teams to score 53.71% (-1.201 -1.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.42% (-1.486 -1.49)50.58% (1.493 1.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.51% (-1.327 -1.33)72.49% (1.335 1.33)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.69% (-0.57000000000001 -0.57)24.31% (0.579 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.31% (-0.818 -0.82)58.69% (0.82400000000001 0.82)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.96% (-1.039 -1.04)29.04% (1.046 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.05% (-1.306 -1.31)64.95% (1.314 1.31)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 41.14%
    AC Milan 32.89%
    Draw 25.97%
JuventusDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 9.98% (0.428 0.43)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.06% (0.188 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.12% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.33% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.126 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 41.14%
1-1 @ 12.34% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 7.06% (0.416 0.42)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.73% (0.27 0.27)
1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.4% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.141 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 32.89%

How you voted: Juventus vs AC Milan

Juventus
64.9%
Draw
19.5%
AC Milan
15.6%
154
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 13
AC Milan
0-0
Juventus
Leao (26'), Emerson (67'), Fofana (69')
Gatti (27'), Locatelli (87')
Apr 27, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 34
Juventus
0-0
AC Milan
Musah (45+1')
Oct 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
AC Milan
0-1
Juventus

Reijnders (61')
Thiaw (40')
Locatelli (63')
Weah (52'), McKennie (67'), Gatti (71'), Locatelli (72'), Allegri (90+5')
Jul 28, 2023 3.30am
Club Friendlies
Juventus
2-2
AC Milan
(Aggregate 2-2 | Juventus win 0-0 on penalties)
Danilo (33'), Rugani (48')
Locatelli (54')
Thiaw (23'), Giroud (39')
Thiaw (15')
May 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Juventus
0-1
AC Milan

Cuadrado (56')
Giroud (40')
Messias (34'), Krunic (64')
rhs 2.0


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