/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F27%2Fmonlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fjuvlog.png)
-
Pedro Pereira
15'
-
Samuele Birindelli
22'
-
Weston McKennie
14'
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Nicolas Gonzalez
39'
-
Francisco Conceicao
57'
Monza vs Juventus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 51.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Monza win it was 1-0 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result
Monza
23.1%
▼
(-0.50)
Draw
25.64%
▼
(-0.07)
Juventus
51.26%
▲
(+0.57)
Both Teams to Score:
47.99%
▼
(-0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.22%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 2.5
54.78%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 3.5
23.91%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 3.5
76.09%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 4.5
10.68%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 4.5
89.32%
▲
(+0.10)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5
61.05%
▼
(-0.58)
Under 0.5
38.95%
▲
(+0.58)
Over 1.5
24.33%
▼
(-0.55)
Under 1.5
75.67%
▲
(+0.55)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5
78.6%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 0.5
21.4%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 1.5
45.6%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 1.5
54.4%
▼
(-0.25)
Score analysis
Monza
23.1%
Draw
25.63%
Juventus
51.26%
Monza
1-0
@
7.86%
▼
(-0.07)
2-1 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 23.1%
2-1 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 23.1%
Draw
1-1
@
12.11%
▼
(-0.06)
0-0 @ 8.34% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 25.63%
0-0 @ 8.34% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 25.63%
Juventus
0-1
@
12.85%
▲
(+0.17)
0-2 @ 9.91% ▲ (+0.17)
1-2 @ 9.34% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.12)
1-3 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.06)
1-4 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 51.26%
0-2 @ 9.91% ▲ (+0.17)
1-2 @ 9.34% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.12)
1-3 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.06)
1-4 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 51.26%
Alessio Zerbin
90'