Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 51.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Monza win it was 1-0 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Juventus |
| 23.1% ( | 25.64% ( | 51.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.22% ( | 54.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.91% ( | 76.09% ( |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.05% ( | 38.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.33% ( | 75.67% ( |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.6% ( | 21.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.6% ( | 54.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Juventus |
| 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 2-1 @ 5.71% ( 2-0 @ 3.71% ( 3-1 @ 1.8% ( 3-2 @ 1.38% ( 3-0 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 1.47% Total : 23.1% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 2-2 @ 4.4% ( Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 12.85% ( 0-2 @ 9.91% ( 1-2 @ 9.34% ( 0-3 @ 5.09% ( 1-3 @ 4.8% ( 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0-4 @ 1.96% ( 1-4 @ 1.85% ( Other @ 3.2% Total : 51.26% |