Serie A Gameweek 20
AC Milan
Jan 11, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Cagliari
  • Alvaro Morata 51' goal
  • Alex Jimenez 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mattia Felici 41'
  • goal Nadir Zortea 55'
  • yellowcard Roberto Piccoli 90'+1'

AC Milan vs Cagliari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Dec 29, 2024 7.45pm
AC Milan 1 - 1 Roma
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Christian Pulisic

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Jan 5, 2025 11.30am
Monza 1 - 2 Cagliari
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Roberto Piccoli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 67.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 13.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result

AC Milan 67.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 19.43% ▼ (-0.04)
Cagliari 13.52% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.42% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.29% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 2.5 43.71% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 3.5 33.9% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 3.5 66.1% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 4.5 17.45% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 4.5 82.55% ▼ (-0.10)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 87.91% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 12.09% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 62.36% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 37.64% ▼ (-0.11)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 56.22% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 43.78% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 20.06% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 79.94% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

AC Milan 67.04%
Draw 19.43%
Cagliari 13.52%
AC Milan
2-0 @ 11.81% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 11.18% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.76% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.32% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.63% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.84% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 67.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 19.43%
Cagliari
0-1 @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 3.82%
0-2 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 13.52%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 12
Cagliari
Nov 9, 2024 5.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT Sardegna Arena
AC Milan
  • Nadir Zortea 2' goal
  • Gabriele Zappa 53' goal
  • Gabriele Zappa 90' goal
  • goal Rafael Leao 15'
  • goal Rafael Leao 40'
  • yellowcard Youssouf Fofana 61'
  • goal Tammy Abraham 69'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 36
AC Milan
May 11, 2024 7.45pm
5
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Cagliari
  • Ismael Bennacer 28' yellowcard
  • Matteo Gabbia 33' yellowcard
  • Ismael Bennacer 35' goal
  • Christian Pulisic 59' goal
  • Tijjani Reijnders 74' goal
  • Rafael Leao 83' goal
  • Christian Pulisic 86' goal
  • goal Nahitan Nandez 63'
  • yellowcard Yerry Mina 69'
Coppa Italia
AC Milan
Jan 2, 2024 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Cagliari
  • Luka Jovic 29' goal
  • Luka Jovic 42' goal
  • Chaka Traore 50' goal
  • Rafael Leao 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Alessandro Di Pardo 59'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Deiola 70'
  • goal Paulo Azzi 87'
  • yellowcard Paulo Azzi 88'
Serie A Gameweek 6
Cagliari
Sep 27, 2023 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Sardegna Arena
AC Milan
  • Zito Luvumbo 29' goal
  • Mateusz Wieteska 42' yellowcard
  • Gabriele Zappa 53' yellowcard
  • Gaetano Oristanio 78' yellowcard
  • goal Noah Okafor 40'
  • goal Fikayo Tomori 45'
  • yellowcard Ruben Loftus-Cheek 48'
  • goal Ruben Loftus-Cheek 60'
Serie A Gameweek 30
Cagliari
Mar 19, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
AC Milan
  • Raoul Bellanova 77' yellowcard
  • goal Ismael Bennacer 59'
Serie A Gameweek 2
AC Milan
Aug 29, 2021 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 4 1
FT
Cagliari
  • Sandro Tonali 12' goal
  • Rafael Leao 17' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 24' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 43' goal
  • Brahim Diaz 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dalbert Henrique 5'
  • goal Alessandro Deiola 15'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Deiola 38'
  • yellowcard Kevin Strootman 41'
  • yellowcard Diego Godin 62'
  • yellowcard Nahitan Nandez 84'

Form Data

Inter Milan 2 - 3 AC Milan
Juventus 1 - 2 AC Milan
AC Milan 1 - 1 Roma
Hellas Verona 0 - 1 AC Milan
AC Milan 0 - 0 Genoa
AC Milan 2 - 1 Red Star
Monza 1 - 2 Cagliari
Cagliari 0 - 3 Inter Milan
Venezia 2 - 1 Cagliari
Juventus 4 - 0 Cagliari
Cagliari 0 - 1 Atalanta
Fiorentina 1 - 0 Cagliari