/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F27%2Fmonlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fcaglog.png)
-
Gianluca Caprari
6'
-
Warren Bondo
30'
-
Danilo D'Ambrosio
63'
-
Alessandro Bianco
67'
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Nadir Zortea
22'
-
Roberto Piccoli
45'
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Roberto Piccoli
56'
-
Yerry Mina
67'
Monza vs Cagliari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F48%2Fmilan-djuric.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
Result
Monza
40.74%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
26.83%
▼
(-0.04)
Cagliari
32.43%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
50.85%
▲
(+0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.82%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 2.5
54.18%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 3.5
24.41%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 3.5
75.59%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 4.5
10.99%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 4.5
89.01%
▼
(-0.08)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5
73.85%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
26.15%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 1.5
38.78%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 1.5
61.22%
▼
(-0.09)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5
68.85%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 0.5
31.15%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 1.5
32.52%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 1.5
67.48%
▼
(-0.12)
Score analysis
Monza
40.74%
Draw
26.83%
Cagliari
32.43%
Monza
1-0
@
10.92%
▼
(-0.05)
2-1 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 40.74%
2-1 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.28% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 40.74%
Draw
1-1
@
12.74%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.15% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.83%
0-0 @ 8.15% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.83%
Cagliari
0-1
@
9.5%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.43% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.54% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 32.43%
1-2 @ 7.43% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.54% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 32.43%