Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 18

Dec 28, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma
2 - 1
Monza

Hernani (56' pen.), Valenti (90+9')
Valenti (63'), Hainaut (78'), Camara (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Ciurria (3', 9'), Pereira (87')
D'Ambrosio (28'), Izzo (28'), Mari (34'), Carboni (70'), Birindelli (73'), Pereira (90+7')
Mari (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Parma and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions

Last Game: Roma 5-0 Parma
Sunday, December 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Monza

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Monza 1-2 Juventus
Sunday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Monza had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Parma in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Parma.

Result
Parma	Draw	Monza
38.91% ( -0.03)	25.25% ( 0.09)	35.85% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 56.8% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.14% (

-0.42)

46.86% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.88% (

-0.39)

69.11% (

0.39)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.2% (

-0.2)

23.8% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.04% (

-0.29)

57.96% (

0.29)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.54% (

-0.23)

25.46% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.71% (

-0.32)

60.29% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Parma 38.91%

Monza 35.85%

Draw 25.24%

Parma	Draw	Monza
1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.01% Total : 38.91%	1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.24%	0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.85%