Serie A Gameweek 18
Cagliari
Dec 28, 2024 5.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Sardegna Arena
Inter Milan
  • goal Alessandro Bastoni 53'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 71'
  • goal Hakan Calhanoglu 78'

Cagliari vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Dec 22, 2024 2.00pm
Venezia 2 - 1 Cagliari
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Roberto Piccoli

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Dec 23, 2024 7.45pm
Inter Milan 2 - 0 Como
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
Marcus Thuram

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 13.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.73%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-0 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result

Cagliari 13.12% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 18.89% ▼ (-0.03)
Inter Milan 67.99% ▲ (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.15% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.84% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 42.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 35.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 64.56% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 18.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 81.4% ▼ (-0.01)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 56.59% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 43.41% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 20.37% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 79.63% ▲ (+0.06)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 88.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 11.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 63.87% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 36.13% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

Cagliari 13.12%
Draw 18.89%
Inter Milan 67.98%
Cagliari
1-0 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 13.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.96% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.94%
2-2 @ 4.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 18.89%
Inter Milan
0-2 @ 11.66% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 10.73%
1-2 @ 9.74% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 8.45% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 67.98%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 32
Inter Milan
Apr 14, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Cagliari
  • Marcus Thuram 12' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 74' goal
  • yellowcard Matteo Prati 40'
  • goal Eldor Shomurodov 64'
  • yellowcard Yerry Mina 73'
  • goal Nicolas Viola 83'
Serie A Gameweek 2
Cagliari
Aug 28, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Sardegna Arena
Inter Milan
  • Zito Luvumbo 83' yellowcard
  • goal Denzel Dumfries 21'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 30'
  • yellowcard Henrikh Mkhitaryan 81'
Serie A Gameweek 37
Cagliari
May 15, 2022 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Inter Milan
  • Charalampos Lykogiannis 54' goal
  • goal Matteo Darmian 25'
  • yellowcard Matteo Darmian 37'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 51'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 84'
  • yellowcard Hakan Calhanoglu 87'
Serie A Gameweek 17
Inter Milan
Dec 12, 2021 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Cagliari
  • Lautaro Martinez 29' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 33' yellowcard
  • Alexis Sanchez 50' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 66' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 68' goal
  • yellowcard Alessio Cragno 43'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Deiola 76'
Serie A Gameweek 30
Inter Milan
Apr 11, 2021 11.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Cagliari
  • Marcelo Brozovic 52' yellowcard
  • Matteo Darmian 77' goal
  • yellowcard Radja Nainggolan 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 11
Cagliari
Dec 13, 2020 11.30am
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
Inter Milan
  • Paolo Farago 10' yellowcard
  • Riccardo Sottil 42' goal
  • Leonardo Pavoletti 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matteo Darmian 16'
  • goal Nicolo Barella 77'
  • goal Danilo D'Ambrosio 84'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 90'+4'

Form Data

Venezia 2 - 1 Cagliari
Juventus 4 - 0 Cagliari
Cagliari 0 - 1 Atalanta
Fiorentina 1 - 0 Cagliari
Cagliari 1 - 0 Hellas Verona
Genoa 2 - 2 Cagliari
Inter Milan 2 - 0 Como
Inter Milan 2 - 0 Udinese
Lazio 0 - 6 Inter Milan
B. Leverkusen 1 - 0 Inter Milan
Inter Milan 3 - 1 Parma
Inter Milan 1 - 0 RB Leipzig