Champions League

Champions League | League Stage

Dec 10, 2024 at 8pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
1 - 0
Inter Milan

Mukiele (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Calhanoglu (25'), Augusto (28'), Barella (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 St Pauli
Saturday, December 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Inter Milan

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-1 Parma
Friday, December 6 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Inter Milan
42.6% ( -0.1)	24.82% ( -0.04)	32.58% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 57.5% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.39% (

0.25)

45.61% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.07% (

0.24)

67.94% (

-0.24)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.56% (

0.06)

21.44% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.54% (

0.09)

54.45% (

-0.1)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.19% (

0.21)

26.81% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.9% (

0.27)

62.1% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 42.6%

Inter Milan 32.58%

Draw 24.82%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Inter Milan
2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 42.6%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.82%	1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.58%