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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Nov 30, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Leverkusen logo

Union Berlin
1 - 2
B. Leverkusen

Woo-yeong (29')
Rothe (28'), Querfeld (63'), Trimmel (67'), Mukiele (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Frimpong (2'), Schick (71')
Andrich (21'), Skov (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, November 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-0 Salzburg
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Union Berlin 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen

Following their resounding victory in the Champions League, Leverkusen will come into Saturday's match full of confidence. Though Union Berlin boast a strong home record, the visitors have also been resilient on the road, and it would not be surprising if they claimed all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 55.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 22.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Union BerlinDrawBayer Leverkusen
22.07% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 22.9% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 55.02% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 55.09% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.26% (0.072000000000003 0.07)44.74% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.9% (0.069000000000003 0.07)67.1% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.7% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)34.3% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.99% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)71.01% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.86% (0.051999999999992 0.05)16.14% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.42% (0.091999999999999 0.09)45.57% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 22.07%
    Bayer Leverkusen 55.01%
    Draw 22.9%
Union BerlinDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 5.92% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-1 @ 5.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 22.07%
1-1 @ 10.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.9%
0-1 @ 10.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 9.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 5.99% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.6% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.21% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.73% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.46% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-5 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
0-5 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 55.01%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs B. Leverkusen

Union Berlin
9.0%
Draw
16.0%
Bayer Leverkusen
75.0%
100
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Union Berlin
0-1
B. Leverkusen

Gosens (9'), Tousart (37')
Gosens (45+3')
Wirtz (45+8' pen.)
Adli (64'), Andrich (82')
Nov 12, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
B. Leverkusen
4-0
Union Berlin
Grimaldo (23'), Odilon (57'), Tah (73'), Tella (83')

Ronnow (74')
Apr 29, 2023 2.30pm
Nov 6, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
B. Leverkusen
5-0
Union Berlin
Andrich (46'), Diaby (56', 58'), Hlozek (68'), Bakker (76')
Jan 8, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Union Berlin
Schick (38'), Tah (84')
Tah (59')
Promel (45', 50')
Trimmel (31'), Friedrich (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern13103041103133
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1383233181527
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1375130201026
4RB Leipzig137332114724
5Wolfsburg136342922721
6Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
7Freiburg136341717021
8Stuttgart135532623320
9Mainz 05Mainz135442318519
10Werder Bremen135442024-419
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach135351918118
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin134451214-216
13Augsburg134451625-916
14Hoffenheim133461825-713
15St Pauli133281117-611
16Heidenheim133191728-1110
17Holstein Kiel1312101333-205
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1302111034-242


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