Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 11

Nov 23, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

VOLKSWAGEN ARENA

Wolfsburg
1 - 0
Union Berlin

Baku (71')
Wimmer (15')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vogt (45+2'), Benes (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Heidenheim 1-3 Wolfsburg
Sunday, November 10 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union Berlin 0-0 Freiburg
Friday, November 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wolfsburg in this match.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	Union Berlin
38.87% ( -0.06)	27.05% ( -0.02)	34.07% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 50.54% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.25% (

0.08)

54.75% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.94% (

0.07)

76.06% (

-0.07)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.56% (

0.01)

27.44% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.07% (

0.01)

62.93% (

-0.01)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.66% (

0.09)

30.34% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.47% (

0.11)

66.53% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 38.86%

Union Berlin 34.07%

Draw 27.05%

Wolfsburg	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 10.76% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.58% 3-0 @ 3% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2% Total : 38.86%	1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.05%	0-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 34.07%