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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Freiburg |
| 43.82% ( | 26.04% ( | 30.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.2% ( | 51.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.44% ( | 73.56% ( |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.49% ( | 23.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.45% ( | 57.55% ( |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.47% ( | 31.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.08% ( | 67.92% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Union Berlin | Draw | Freiburg |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 2-0 @ 7.77% ( 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 3-2 @ 2.5% ( 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 4-2 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 1.96% Total : 43.82% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0-0 @ 7.41% ( 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 3-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 8.56% ( 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.13% |