Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 76.07%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Elversberg had a probability of 9.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for a Elversberg win it was 1-2 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.