Leverkusen logo
DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 29, 2024 at 5pm UK
BayArena

B. Leverkusen
3 - 0
Elversberg

Schick (2', 9'), Garcia (36')
Tapsoba (81')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Pinckert (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Elversberg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Elversberg 4-2 Hamburger SV
Saturday, October 26 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 76.07%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Elversberg had a probability of 9.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for a Elversberg win it was 1-2 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawElversberg
76.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)14.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)9.55% (-0.019 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.72% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.82% (0.0010000000000048 0)30.19% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.59% (0.00099999999999767 0)51.42% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.44% (0.007000000000005 0.01)6.56% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.57% (0.016999999999996 0.02)24.44% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Elversberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.57% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)41.44% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.06% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)77.94% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 76.07%
    Elversberg 9.55%
    Draw 14.38%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawElversberg
2-0 @ 10.08%
3-0 @ 9.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 8.07%
1-0 @ 7.41% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 6.24% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 5.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 3.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.99% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 2.42% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
6-0 @ 1.54% (0.0029999999999999 0)
6-1 @ 1.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 76.07%
1-1 @ 6.53% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 3.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 2.72%
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 14.38%
1-2 @ 2.87% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 2.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 9.55%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Elversberg

Bayer Leverkusen
90.4%
Draw
6.0%
Elversberg
3.6%
83
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 2.31pm
First Round
Elversberg
4-3
B. Leverkusen
Rochelt (2'), Koffi (17' pen.), Schnellbacher (37'), Conrad (74')
Mustafa (90+5')
Hlozek (5'), Aranguiz (30'), Schick (89')
Diaby (64'), Demirbay (90+5')
rhs 2.0


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