DFB-Pokal
Oct 29, 2024 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT BayArena
  • Patrik Schick 2' goal
  • Patrik Schick 9' goal
  • Aleix Garcia 36' goal
  • Edmond Tapsoba 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lukas Pinckert 84'

Bayer Leverkusen vs Elversberg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Elversberg

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 76.07%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Elversberg had a probability of 9.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for a Elversberg win it was 1-2 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 76.07% (+0.04)
Draw 14.38% (-0.01)
Elversberg 9.55% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.72% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.82% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 30.19% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 48.59% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 51.42% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 29.45%
Under 4.5 70.55% (-0.01)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 93.44% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 6.56% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 75.57% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 24.44% (-0.02)

Elversberg Goals

Over 0.5 58.57% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 41.44% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 22.06% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 77.94% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 76.07%
Draw 14.38%
Elversberg 9.55%
Bayer Leverkusen
2-0 @ 10.08%
3-0 @ 9.16% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 8.07%
1-0 @ 7.41% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 6.24% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 5.5% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 3.4% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.99% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.42% (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.54% (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.36% (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 76.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.53% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.92% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.72%
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 14.38%
Elversberg
1-2 @ 2.87% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 2.4% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.06% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 9.55%

Head to Head

DFB-Pokal
Jul 30, 2022 2.31pm
4
3
HT : 3 2
FT
  • Jannik Rochelt 2' goal
  • Kevin Koffi 17' goal
  • Luca Schnellbacher 37' goal
  • Kevin Conrad 74' goal
  • Valdrin Mustafa 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Adam Hlozek 5'
  • goal Charles Aranguiz 30'
  • yellowcard Moussa Diaby 64'
  • goal Patrik Schick 89'
  • yellowcard Kerem Demirbay 90'+5'