Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 62.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Elversberg had a probability of 18.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.95%) and 1-3 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Elversberg win it was 2-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.