Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 51.22%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.