Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 70.15%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Meppen had a probability of 13.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.77%) and 1-3 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.18%), while for a Meppen win it was 2-1 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.