Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 63.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 16.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Jahn Regensburg win it was 1-2 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.