Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Brest had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.