Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 11

Nov 23, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
5 - 2
Heidenheim

Palacios (30'), Schick (32', 52', 71'), Xhaka (82')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Dorsch (10'), Honsak (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Heidenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Heidenheim 1-3 Wolfsburg
Sunday, November 10 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 66.41%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 15.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Heidenheim
66.41% ( -1.8)	18.51% ( 0.72)	15.08% ( 1.08)

Both teams to score 57.02% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.14% (

-1.04)

35.86% (

1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.06% (

-1.15)

57.94% (

1.16)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.97% (

-0.7)

10.03% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.91% (

-1.65)

33.09% (

1.65)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.37% (

0.77)

36.63% (

-0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.58% (

0.77)

73.41% (

-0.76)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 66.41%

Heidenheim 15.08%

Draw 18.51%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Heidenheim
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.32) 4-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.32) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.17) 5-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.22) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.13% Total : 66.41%	1-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.51%	1-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.21% Total : 15.08%