Bundesliga Gameweek 11
Nov 23, 2024 2.30pm
5
2
HT : 2 2
FT BayArena
  • Exequiel Palacios 30' goal
  • Patrik Schick 32' goal
  • Patrik Schick 52' goal
  • Patrik Schick 71' goal
  • Granit Xhaka 82' goal
  • goal Niklas Dorsch 10'
  • goal Mathias Honsak 21'

Bayer Leverkusen vs Heidenheim - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Nov 9, 2024 2.30pm
VfL Bochum 1 - 1 B. Leverkusen
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Patrik Schick

Heidenheim

All competitions
Last game
Nov 10, 2024 6.30pm
Heidenheim 1 - 3 Wolfsburg
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Marvin Pieringer

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 66.41%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 15.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 66.41% (-1.80)
Draw 18.51% (+0.72)
Heidenheim 15.08% (+1.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.02% (+0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.14% (-1.04)
Under 2.5 35.86% (+1.05)
Over 3.5 42.06% (-1.16)
Under 3.5 57.94% (+1.16)
Over 4.5 23.81% (-0.97)
Under 4.5 76.18% (+0.97)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 89.97% (-0.71)
Under 0.5 10.03% (+0.71)
Over 1.5 66.91% (-1.66)
Under 1.5 33.09% (+1.66)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5 63.37% (+0.78)
Under 0.5 36.63% (-0.77)
Over 1.5 26.58% (+0.77)
Under 1.5 73.41% (-0.77)

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 66.41%
Draw 18.51%
Heidenheim 15.08%
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.76% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 9.71% (-0.11)
1-0 @ 8.45% (+0.18)
3-1 @ 7.48% (-0.16)
3-0 @ 7.45% (-0.32)
4-1 @ 4.3% (-0.23)
4-0 @ 4.28% (-0.33)
3-2 @ 3.76% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.16% (-0.07)
5-1 @ 1.98% (-0.18)
5-0 @ 1.97% (-0.22)
Other @ 5.13%
Total : 66.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.48% (+0.35)
2-2 @ 4.9% (+0.16)
0-0 @ 3.67% (+0.19)
3-3 @ 1.26% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 18.51%
Heidenheim
1-2 @ 4.26% (+0.26)
0-1 @ 3.69% (+0.27)
0-2 @ 1.85% (+0.17)
2-3 @ 1.64% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.43% (+0.12)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 15.08%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Feb 17, 2024 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Voith-Arena
  • Jonas Fohrenbach 26' yellowcard
  • Benedikt Gimber 32' yellowcard
  • Tim Kleindienst 86' goal
  • goal Jeremie Frimpong 45'+2'
  • goal Amine Adli 81'
  • yellowcard Robert Andrich 90'+2'
Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Sep 24, 2023 2.30pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT BayArena
  • Victor Okoh Boniface 9' goal
  • Exequiel Palacios 31' yellowcard
  • Jonas Hofmann 63' goal
  • Victor Okoh Boniface 74' goal
  • Amine Adli 82' goal
  • yellowcard Norman Theuerkauf 37'
  • goal Eren Dinkci 58'
DFB-Pokal Gameweek 3
Feb 5, 2019 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Voith-Arena (Heidenheim an der Brenz)
  • Nikola Dovedan 47' goal
  • Niklas Dorsch 64' yellowcard
  • Maurice Multhaup 72' goal
  • goal Julian Brandt 44'
  • yellowcard Aleksandar Dragovic 77'
  • yellowcard Julian Baumgartlinger 88'