Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 9

Nov 2, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Holstein-Stadion

Holstein Kiel
1 - 0
Heidenheim

Erras (28')
Gigovic (35'), Remberg (38'), Porath (59'), Knudsen (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Siersleben (18'), Gimber (33'), Mainka (68'), Schoppner (70'), Pieringer (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: FC Koln 3-0 Holstein Kiel
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Heidenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-1 Heidenheim
Wednesday, October 30 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Holstein Kiel	Draw	Heidenheim
29.49% ( 0.32)	23.53% ( 0.13)	46.99% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 60.44% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.94% (

-0.4)

41.06% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.54% (

-0.41)

63.45% (

0.41)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.46% (

0.01)

26.54% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.25% (

0.02)

61.75% (

-0.02)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.27% (

-0.33)

17.72% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.61% (

-0.57)

48.39% (

0.57)

Score Analysis

Holstein Kiel 29.49%

Heidenheim 46.99%

Draw 23.52%

Holstein Kiel	Draw	Heidenheim
2-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 29.49%	1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.52%	1-2 @ 9.34% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.39% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.81% Total : 46.99%