Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 61.47%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 18.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 1-0 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	Holstein Kiel
61.47% ( -0)	19.66%	18.87% ( 0)

Both teams to score 61.32% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.84% (

34.16% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.95% (

56.05% (

-0.01)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.23% (

-0)

10.77% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.22% (

-0)

34.78%

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.72% (

31.28% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.37% (

67.63% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

FC Koln 61.47%

Holstein Kiel 18.87%

Draw 19.66%

FC Koln	Draw	Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.22% 3-0 @ 6.21% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.02% 4-0 @ 3.46% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.34% 5-1 @ 1.79% 5-0 @ 1.54% 5-2 @ 1.04% 4-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.15% Total : 61.47%	1-1 @ 8.73% 2-2 @ 5.65% 0-0 @ 3.37% 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.29% Total : 19.66%	1-2 @ 5.07% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.92% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 18.87%