Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	Karlsruher SC
42.22% ( -1.52)	24.6% ( 0.46)	33.18% ( 1.06)

Both teams to score 58.48% (

-1.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.57% (

-1.77)

44.43% (

1.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.2% (

-1.73)

66.8% (

1.74)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.89% (

-1.41)

21.11% (

1.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.05% (

-2.25)

53.95% (

2.25)

Karlsruher SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.13% (

-0.21)

25.87% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.15% (

-0.28)

60.85% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

FC Koln 42.22%

Karlsruher SC 33.18%

Draw 24.59%

FC Koln	Draw	Karlsruher SC
2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.28) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.66% Total : 42.22%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.41) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.59%	1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.51) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.18%