DFB-Pokal | First Round

Aug 18, 2024 at 5pm UK

FRIMO Stadion

Sportfreunde Lotte
0 - 5
Karlsruher

Fontein (52')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Herold (2'), Wanitzek (21'), Sabah (49' og.), Zivzivadze (69'), Conte (82')
Heusser (45')

Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Sportfreunde Lotte and Karlsruher SC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sportfreunde Lotte

Last Game: Sportfreunde Lotte 1-0 VfB Oldenburg
Friday, July 19 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3

Karlsruher SC

All competitions

Last Game: Dusseldorf 0-0 Karlsruher
Saturday, August 10 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 83.25%. A draw had a probability of 11% and a win for Sportfreunde Lotte had a probability of 5.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 0-4 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.14%), while for a Sportfreunde Lotte win it was 2-1 (1.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karlsruher SC would win this match.

Result
Sportfreunde Lotte	Draw	Karlsruher SC
5.72% ( 0.06)	11.03% ( 0.04)	83.25% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 48.11% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.84% (

0.12)

28.16% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.06% (

0.15)

48.94% (

-0.15)

Sportfreunde Lotte Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.58% (

0.3)

49.41% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.75% (

0.21)

84.25% (

-0.21)

Karlsruher SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.1% (

4.89% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.35% (

0.02)

19.65% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Sportfreunde Lotte 5.72%

Karlsruher SC 83.24%

Draw 11.03%

Sportfreunde Lotte	Draw	Karlsruher SC
2-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 5.72%	1-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.74% Total : 11.03%	0-3 @ 11.07% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 11% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 8.35% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 7.8% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 5.89% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 5.04% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 3.55% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.03) 0-6 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 1-6 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 0-7 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.99% Total : 83.24%