Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.