Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.