Conference League
Oct 24, 2024 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Lawrence Shankland 3' yellowcard
  • Alan Forrest 16' goal
  • Blair Spittal 23' goal
  • Adam Forrester 49' yellowcard
  • Craig Gordon 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mateo Maric 6'
  • yellowcard Senou Coulibaly 62'

Hearts vs Omonia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Oct 3, 2024 5.45pm
Dinamo Minsk 1 - 2 Hearts

Omonia

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Oct 3, 2024 5.45pm
Omonia 4 - 0 Vikingur

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for Omonia had a probability of 25.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Omonia win was 0-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result

Hearts 50.43% (+0.22)
Draw 23.83% (-0.01)
Omonia 25.74% (-0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.31% (-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.86% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 45.14% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 32.52% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 67.48% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 16.45% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 83.55% (+0.09)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 82.04% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 17.96% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 51.21% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 48.79% (-0.06)

Omonia Goals

Over 0.5 68.63% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 31.37% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 32.27% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 67.73% (+0.28)

Score analysis

Hearts 50.43%
Draw 23.83%
Omonia 25.74%
Hearts
1-0 @ 9.67% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.63% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.3% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 5.51% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.75% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.37% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.04% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 50.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.21%
0-0 @ 5.63% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.83%
Omonia
0-1 @ 6.53% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.5% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.51% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 25.74%