Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Omonia win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for Vikingur Reykjavik had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Omonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Vikingur Reykjavik win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Omonia would win this match.