Scottish Premiership Gameweek 8
Hearts
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tynecastle Park
St Mirren
  • Kenneth Vargas 15' goal
  • Daniel Oyegoke 47' goal
  • James Wilson 86' goal
  • Blair Spittal 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Charles Dunne 23'
  • yellowcard Toyosi Olusanya 53'
  • yellowcard Greg Kiltie 84'
  • yellowcard Elvis Bwomono 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Dennis Adeniran 90'+5'

Hearts vs St Mirren - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 6, 2024 3.00pm
Aberdeen 3 - 2 Hearts
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

St Mirren

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Oct 5, 2024 3.00pm
St Mirren 0 - 1 Dundee Utd
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Toyosi Olusanya

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result

Hearts 46.23% ▼ (-0.82)
Draw 24.77% ▲ (+0.09)
St Mirren 29% ▲ (+0.74)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.82% ▲ (+0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.01% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 46.99% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 30.77% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 69.23% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 15.21% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 4.5 84.8% ▼ (-0.05)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 79.61% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 0.5 20.39% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 1.5 47.18% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 1.5 52.82% ▲ (+0.52)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 70.13% ▲ (+0.57)
Under 0.5 29.88% ▼ (-0.57)
Over 1.5 34.03% ▲ (+0.68)
Under 1.5 65.97% ▼ (-0.69)

Score analysis

Hearts 46.23%
Draw 24.77%
St Mirren 29%
Hearts
1-0 @ 9.69% ▼ (-0.13)
2-1 @ 9.3% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 7.7% ▼ (-0.18)
3-1 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 2.98% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.08)
4-2 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 46.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.7% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.77%
St Mirren
0-1 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.10)
1-2 @ 7.07% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 2.85% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.26% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 29%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 15
St Mirren
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 4 2
FT The Smisa Stadium
Hearts
  • Gerald Taylor 8' goal
  • Gerald Taylor 8' goal
  • Toyosi Olusanya 13' yellowcard
  • Toyosi Olusanya 13' yellowcard
  • Toyosi Olusanya 34' goal
  • Toyosi Olusanya 34' goal
  • Jaden Brown 40' yellowcard
  • Jaden Brown 40' yellowcard
  • Caolan Boyd-Munce 65' yellowcard
  • goal Craig Halkett 18'
  • goal Craig Halkett 18'
  • yellowcard Stephen Kingsley 33'
  • yellowcard Stephen Kingsley 33'
  • yellowcard Jorge Grant 44'
  • yellowcard Jorge Grant 44'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Shankland 85'
  • yellowcard Beni Baningime 85'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 37
St Mirren
May 15, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Smisa Stadium
Hearts
  • James Scott 7' goal
  • James Bolton 65' goal
  • goal Kyosuke Tagawa 20'
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 73'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 32
St Mirren
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Smisa Stadium
Hearts
  • Toyosi Olusanya 68' goal
  • Scott Tanser 82' yellowcard
  • goal Jorge Grant 33'
  • yellowcard Macauley Tait 45'+3'
  • goal Mikael Mandron 62' (OG)
  • yellowcard Toby Sibbick 62'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 19
Hearts
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tynecastle Park
St Mirren
  • Lawrence Shankland 33' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 49' goal
  • Nathaniel Atkinson 66' yellowcard
  • Craig Halkett 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Gogic 2'
  • yellowcard Scott Tanser 22'
  • yellowcard Caolan Boyd-Munce 76'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 6
St Mirren
Sep 23, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Smisa Stadium
Hearts
  • Ryan Strain 7' goal
  • Keanu Baccus 24' yellowcard
  • Toyosi Olusanya 25' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kye Rowles 24'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 35
St Mirren
May 13, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT The Smisa Stadium
Hearts
  • Joe Shaughnessy 36' goal
  • Ryan Strain 45'+4' goal
  • goal Josh Ginnelly 73'
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 90'+6'

Form Data

Aberdeen 3 - 2 Hearts
Dinamo Minsk 1 - 2 Hearts
Hearts 1 - 1 Ross County
St Mirren 2 - 1 Hearts
Celtic 2 - 0 Hearts
Hearts 0 - 1 Dundee Utd
St Mirren 0 - 1 Dundee Utd
Motherwell 2 - 1 St Mirren
St Mirren 2 - 1 Hearts
St Mirren 2 - 2 Kilmarnock
Dundee 2 - 2 St Mirren
St Mirren 0 - 3 Celtic