Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 8

Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK

Tynecastle Park

Hearts
4 - 0
St Mirren

Vargas (15'), Oyegoke (47'), Wilson (86'), Spittal (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dunne (23'), Olusanya (53'), Kiltie (84'), Bwomono (90+5'), Adeniran (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Aberdeen 3-2 Hearts
Sunday, October 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

St Mirren

All competitions

Last Game: St Mirren 0-1 Dundee Utd
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	St Mirren
46.23% ( -0.81)	24.77% ( 0.08)	29% ( 0.73)

Both teams to score 55.82% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.01% (

0.07)

46.99% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.77% (

0.06)

69.23% (

-0.06)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.61% (

-0.32)

20.39% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.18% (

-0.51)

52.82% (

0.51)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.13% (

0.56)

29.88% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.03% (

0.68)

65.97% (

-0.68)

Score Analysis

Hearts 46.23%

St Mirren 29%

Draw 24.77%

Hearts	Draw	St Mirren
1-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 46.23%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.77%	0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.23% Total : 29%