Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 5

Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Smisa Stadium

St Mirren
2 - 2
Kilmarnock

Olusanya (7'), O'Hara (41' pen.)
Mandron (16'), Taylor (47')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Watkins (11'), Ayunga (71' og.)
Ndaba (21'), Polworth (65'), Watson (90+1')
Wright (45+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Dundee 2-2 St Mirren
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-1 Hibernian
Sunday, September 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
St Mirren	Draw	Kilmarnock
41.99% ( -0.02)	26.9% ( -0)	31.11% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 50.17% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.16% (

0.02)

54.84% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.86% (

0.01)

76.13% (

-0.02)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.21% (

-0)

25.79% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.26% (

-0)

60.74% (

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.6% (

0.02)

32.4% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.09% (

0.03)

68.91% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

St Mirren 41.98%

Kilmarnock 31.11%

Draw 26.9%

St Mirren	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 41.98%	1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.9%	0-1 @ 9.42% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.11%