Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 4

Sep 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

Tynecastle Park

Hearts
0 - 1
Dundee Utd

Shankland (41'), Dhanda (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Graham (76')
Ferry (41'), Trapanovski (64'), Sibbald (86'), Walton (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Dundee United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Hearts 0-1 Plzen
Thursday, August 29 at 7.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Dundee United

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Dundee Utd 2-0 St Johnstone
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundee United would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Dundee United
28.37% ( 0.01)	23.77% ( 0.04)	47.86% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 58.78% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.1% (

-0.18)

42.9% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.7% (

-0.18)

65.3% (

0.18)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.77% (

-0.08)

28.23% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.07% (

-0.1)

63.93% (

0.1)

Dundee United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.9% (

-0.09)

18.1% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.97% (

-0.16)

49.03% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Hearts 28.37%

Dundee United 47.86%

Draw 23.77%

Hearts	Draw	Dundee United
2-1 @ 6.99% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 28.37%	1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.77%	1-2 @ 9.44% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.38% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.25% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.61% Total : 47.86%