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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38
May 18, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Rangers logo

Hearts
3 - 3
Rangers

Shankland (33'), Lembikisa (82'), Tagawa (90+5')
Rowles (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McCausland (52'), Cantwell (69'), Silva (79')
Dowell (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Mirren 2-2 Hearts
Wednesday, May 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 5-2 Dundee
Tuesday, May 14 at 7.30pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-2 Rangers

An entertaining end-to-end contest could on the cards between these two teams in what is now a dead-rubber fixture. You could argue that Rangers are still favourites to come out on top even without anything riding on this clash, but we believe that Hearts will give the Tynecastle faithful something to cheer and may find a way to claim at least a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
HeartsDrawRangers
26.27% (-1.933 -1.93) 22.44% (0.067 0.07) 51.29% (1.873 1.87)
Both teams to score 61.68% (-1.994 -1.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.72% (-1.88 -1.88)38.28% (1.888 1.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.44% (-2.027 -2.03)60.56% (2.036 2.04)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67% (-2.311 -2.31)27.33% (2.318 2.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.21% (-3.1 -3.1)62.79% (3.109 3.11)
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.88% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)15.12% (0.045 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.31% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)43.69% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 26.27%
    Rangers 51.29%
    Draw 22.43%
HeartsDrawRangers
2-1 @ 6.57% (-0.282 -0.28)
1-0 @ 5.36% (0.135 0.14)
2-0 @ 3.48% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.84% (-0.325 -0.33)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.311 -0.31)
3-0 @ 1.5% (-0.169 -0.17)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 26.27%
1-1 @ 10.12% (0.232 0.23)
2-2 @ 6.2% (-0.278 -0.28)
0-0 @ 4.13% (0.362 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.199 -0.2)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.43%
1-2 @ 9.57% (0.212 0.21)
0-1 @ 7.81% (0.672 0.67)
0-2 @ 7.38% (0.624 0.62)
1-3 @ 6.02% (0.123 0.12)
0-3 @ 4.64% (0.386 0.39)
2-3 @ 3.91% (-0.181 -0.18)
1-4 @ 2.85% (0.054 0.05)
0-4 @ 2.19% (0.179 0.18)
2-4 @ 1.85% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-5 @ 1.08% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 51.29%

How you voted: Hearts vs Rangers

Hearts
20.5%
Draw
33.3%
Rangers
46.2%
39
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 3pm
Semi-Finals
Rangers
2-0
Hearts
Dessers (5', 78')
Souttar (59'), Raskin (82')

Devlin (59'), Tait (82')
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Rangers
5-0
Hearts
Diomande (2'), Cortes (37'), Dessers (44', 48'), Silva (65')
Souttar (41'), Raskin (78')

Shankland (45+2'), Tait (88')
Dec 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 16
Hearts
0-1
Rangers

Vargas (51'), Cochrane (63'), Forrest (90+1')
Sima (34')
Yilmaz (69')
Nov 5, 2023 3pm
Semi-Finals
Hearts
1-3
Rangers
Shankland (81' pen.)
Kingsley (45+3'), Rowles (63'), Devlin (88'), Denholm (90+1')
Kingsley (79')
Tavernier (50' pen., 64'), Wright (55')
Cantwell (29')
Oct 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Rangers
2-1
Hearts
Tavernier (90' pen.), Danilo (90+3')
Lundstram (31')
Shankland (5')
Offiah (15'), Cochrane (72'), Haring (89'), Vargas (90+8'), Forrest (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Ukraine Ukraine21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Belgium Belgium10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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