Falkirk
Scottish League Cup | Second Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Falkirk Community Stadium
Hearts logo

Falkirk
2 - 0
Hearts

Ross (53'), Tait (81')
Tait (3'), Maciver (21'), Mackie (24'), Spencer (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Boyce (40'), Vargas (43'), Taylor (65'), Shankland (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish League Cup clash between Falkirk and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Falkirk

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Dunfermline 0-2 Falkirk
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Hearts

All competitions
Last Game: Dundee 3-1 Hearts
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.

Result
FalkirkDrawHearts
40.2% (-0.15799999999999 -0.16)24.07% (0.062999999999999 0.06)35.72% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 61.01% (-0.219 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.61% (-0.292 -0.29)41.38% (0.291 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.21% (-0.297 -0.3)63.78% (0.296 0.3)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.24% (-0.199 -0.2)20.76% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.6% (-0.313 -0.31)53.39% (0.314 0.31)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)23% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.19% (-0.123 -0.12)56.8% (0.122 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Falkirk 40.2%
    Hearts 35.72%
    Draw 24.07%
FalkirkDrawHearts
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.51% (0.053 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 40.2%
1-1 @ 11.03% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.77% (0.063 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 8.11% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.02% (0.075 0.08)
0-2 @ 5.16% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.53% (0.015 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 35.72%

How you voted: Falkirk vs Hearts

Falkirk
14.3%
Draw
0.0%
Hearts
85.7%
7
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2020 7.20pm
Fifth Round
Falkirk
0-1
Hearts

Miller (7'), Dixon (26')
Clare (50' pen.)
Clare (23'), Irving (88')
> Match Report
Mar 21, 2015 3pm
Falkirk
0-3
Hearts

McCracken (66')
Walker (28'), Zeefuik (47'), Keatings (82')
Gomis (26'), Zeefuik (74')
Jan 24, 2015 3pm
Hearts
2-3
Falkirk
Zeefuik (2'), Keatings (73')
Zeefuik (2'), Walker (23'), Wilson (79'), Eckersley (86')
Baird (33' pen.), Loy (52'), Sibbald (80')
Leahy (42'), Vaulks (67'), Kerr (71'), Alston (74')
Nov 15, 2014 5.30pm
Falkirk
1-2
Hearts
Bia-Bi (71')
Leahy (42'), Alston (59'), Shaughnessy (66'), Vaulks (78')
McHattie (27'), El Hassnaoui (37')
Ozturk (42'), Gomis (62'), McKay (89')
> Match Report
Aug 30, 2014 3pm
Hearts
4-1
Falkirk
McGhee (17'), King (25', 37'), Sow (78' pen.)
Buaben (72')
Bia-Bi (86')
Maybury (24'), Sibbald (34'), Durojaiye (69'), Vaulks (78'), Taiwo (84')