Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Hearts win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.