Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Northern Gas and Power Stadium
Falkirk

Buckie Thistle
1 - 5
Falkirk

MacAskill (28')
McCabe (33')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Fyffe (21' og.), Nesbitt (29', 84'), Mackie (31'), Shanley (90')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Buckie Thistle and Falkirk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Buckie Thistle

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Last Game: Stenhousemuir 4-0 Buckie Thistle
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
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Falkirk

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Ayr 1-0 Falkirk
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 81.72%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Buckie Thistle had a probability of 6.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.64%) and 0-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.8%), while for a Buckie Thistle win it was 1-0 (2.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.

Result
Buckie ThistleDrawFalkirk
6.05% (-2.713 -2.71)12.23% (-2.387 -2.39)81.72% (5.096 5.1)
Both teams to score 44.67% (-5.218 -5.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.71% (1.073 1.07)33.28% (-1.078 -1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.95% (1.22 1.22)55.05% (-1.224 -1.22)
Buckie Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.6% (-6.272 -6.27)52.4% (6.267 6.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.73% (-4.445 -4.45)86.26% (4.44 4.44)
Falkirk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.85% (1.235 1.24)6.14% (-1.2381 -1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.71% (3.333 3.33)23.28% (-3.338 -3.34)
Score Analysis
    Buckie Thistle 6.05%
    Falkirk 81.7%
    Draw 12.23%
Buckie ThistleDrawFalkirk
1-0 @ 2.08% (-0.554 -0.55)
2-1 @ 1.88% (-0.78 -0.78)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 6.05%
1-1 @ 5.8% (-1.062 -1.06)
0-0 @ 3.22% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-2 @ 2.62% (-0.845 -0.85)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 12.23%
0-2 @ 12.52% (0.96 0.96)
0-3 @ 11.64% (1.6 1.6)
0-1 @ 8.98% (0.107 0.11)
0-4 @ 8.13% (1.579 1.58)
1-2 @ 8.1% (-0.851 -0.85)
1-3 @ 7.53% (-0.244 -0.24)
1-4 @ 5.25% (0.186 0.19)
0-5 @ 4.53% (1.121 1.12)
1-5 @ 2.93% (0.29 0.29)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.574 -0.57)
0-6 @ 2.11% (0.626 0.63)
2-4 @ 1.7% (-0.262 -0.26)
1-6 @ 1.36% (0.215 0.22)
2-5 @ 0.95% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 81.7%