Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round
Aug 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park

Dundee U21s
4 - 0
Buckie Thistle

Mohammed (1'), Wilkie (17'), Mutale (23'), Anderson (61')
Allan (86')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Goodall (55'), McHardy (59'), Murray (86')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between Dundee Under-21s and Buckie Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee Under-21s

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Last Game: Dundee U21s 1-2 Peterhead
Wednesday, August 11 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
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Buckie Thistle

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Last Game: Buckie Thistle 1-2 Linfield
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buckie Thistle win with a probability of 73.6%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Dundee Under-21s had a probability of 11.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buckie Thistle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.44%) and 1-3 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.33%), while for a Dundee Under-21s win it was 2-1 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Dundee Under-21sDrawBuckie Thistle
11.51% (-3.371 -3.37)14.89% (-2.252 -2.25)73.6% (5.626 5.63)
Both teams to score 60.77% (-1.233 -1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.53% (2.913 2.91)26.47% (-2.91 -2.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.18% (3.627 3.63)46.81% (-3.625 -3.63)
Dundee Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.78% (-2.585 -2.58)35.21% (2.587 2.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.03% (-2.796 -2.8)71.97% (2.798 2.8)
Buckie Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.81% (1.771 1.77)6.19% (-1.768 -1.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.59% (4.691 4.69)23.41% (-4.687 -4.69)
Score Analysis
    Dundee Under-21s 11.51%
    Buckie Thistle 73.6%
    Draw 14.89%
Dundee Under-21sDrawBuckie Thistle
2-1 @ 3.3% (-0.819 -0.82)
1-0 @ 2.27% (-0.634 -0.63)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.349 -0.35)
2-0 @ 1.19% (-0.441 -0.44)
3-1 @ 1.15% (-0.39 -0.39)
Other @ 2%
Total : 11.51%
1-1 @ 6.33% (-1.031 -1.03)
2-2 @ 4.6% (-0.621 -0.62)
0-0 @ 2.18% (-0.417 -0.42)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.16 -0.16)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 14.89%
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.509 -0.51)
0-2 @ 8.44% (0.12 0.12)
1-3 @ 8.17% (0.307 0.31)
0-3 @ 7.83% (0.809 0.81)
0-1 @ 6.06% (-0.507 -0.51)
1-4 @ 5.68% (0.708 0.71)
0-4 @ 5.44% (1.003 1)
2-3 @ 4.26% (-0.139 -0.14)
1-5 @ 3.16% (0.644 0.64)
0-5 @ 3.03% (0.781 0.78)
2-4 @ 2.96% (0.179 0.18)
2-5 @ 1.65% (0.24 0.24)
1-6 @ 1.47% (0.404 0.4)
0-6 @ 1.41% (0.457 0.46)
3-4 @ 1.03% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 73.6%