Scottish Premiership
Gameweek
3
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-
Paul McGinn
24'
-
Andy Halliday
42'
-
Stephen O'Donnell
60'
-
Tom Sparrow
81'
-
Frankie Kent
45'+1'
-
Cameron Devlin
58'
-
Andres Salazar
62'
-
Yutaro Oda
65'
-
Stephen Kingsley
76'
Motherwell vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 50.52%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
Result
Motherwell
50.52%
▲
(+0.26)
Draw
24.61%
▼
(-0.01)
Hearts
24.87%
▼
(-0.26)
Both Teams to Score:
52.91%
▼
(-0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.78%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 2.5
49.22%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 3.5
28.72%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 3.5
71.28%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 4.5
13.79%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 4.5
86.2%
▲
(+0.12)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5
80.5%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
19.49%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
48.63%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
51.36%
▼
(-0.05)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5
65.72%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 0.5
34.28%
▲
(+0.32)
Over 1.5
29.02%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 1.5
70.98%
▲
(+0.34)
Score analysis
Motherwell
50.51%
Draw
24.6%
Hearts
24.87%
Motherwell
1-0
@
10.92%
▲
(+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.56% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.93% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 50.51%
2-1 @ 9.56% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.93% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 50.51%
Draw
1-1
@
11.69%
0-0 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 24.6%
0-0 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 24.6%
Hearts
0-1
@
7.15%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 24.87%
1-2 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 24.87%
Head to Head
Scottish Premiership
Gameweek
26
-
Lawrence Shankland
23'
-
Lawrence Shankland
67'
-
Kenneth Vargas
90'+2'
-
Stuart Kettlewell
24'
-
Davor Zdravkovski
69'
-
Sam Nicholson
88'
Scottish Premiership
Gameweek
13
-
Harry Paton
40'
-
Harry Paton
40'
-
Callum Slattery
62'
-
Callum Slattery
62'
-
Blair Spittal
78'
-
Calum Butcher
79'
-
Georgie Gent
89'
-
Lawrence Shankland
27'
-
Lawrence Shankland
27'
-
Lawrence Shankland
71'
-
Toby Sibbick
86'
-
Beni Baningime
89'
Scottish Premiership
Gameweek
4
-
Cameron Devlin
71'
-
Callum Slattery
29'
-
Paul McGinn
36'
-
Paul McGinn
69'
-
Dan Casey
71'
-
Oli Shaw
90'
Scottish Premiership
Gameweek
26
-
Jonathan Obika
40'
-
Blair Spittal
46'
Scottish Premiership
Gameweek
14
-
Andy Halliday
45'
-
Andy Halliday
47'
-
Lawrence Shankland
89'
-
Louis Moult
61'
-
Blair Spittal
79'
Scottish Premiership
Gameweek
8
-
Lawrence Shankland
17'
-
Alan Forrest
50'
-
Alan Forrest
90'