Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 3

Aug 25, 2024 at 3pm UK

Fir Park

Motherwell
3 - 1
Hearts

McGinn (24'), O'Donnell (60'), Sparrow (81')
Halliday (42')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Oda (65')
Kent (45+1'), Devlin (58'), Salazar (62'), Kingsley (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Motherwell 1-0 Kilmarnock (0-0 pen.)
Sunday, August 18 at 2pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Plzen 1-0 Hearts
Thursday, August 22 at 6pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 50.52%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
Motherwell	Draw	Hearts
50.52% ( 0.25)	24.61% ( -0)	24.87% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 52.91% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.78% (

-0.19)

49.22% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.72% (

-0.17)

71.28% (

0.17)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.5% (

0.03)

19.49% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.63% (

0.05)

51.36% (

-0.05)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.72% (

-0.32)

34.28% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.02% (

-0.34)

70.98% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Motherwell 50.51%

Hearts 24.87%

Draw 24.6%

Motherwell	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 50.51%	1-1 @ 11.69% 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.6%	0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.19% Total : 24.87%