Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 5

Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK

Celtic Park

Celtic
2 - 0
Hearts

Engels (51' pen.), McCowan (90')
Kuhn (21')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Penrice (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Celtic and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celtic

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Celtic 3-0 Rangers
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Hearts 0-1 Dundee Utd
Sunday, September 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 82.1%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 6.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 3-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.22%), while for a Hearts win it was 1-2 (2.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
Celtic	Draw	Hearts
82.1% ( 0.2)	11.45% ( -0.11)	6.45% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 51.33% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.21% (

0.25)

26.79% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.77% (

0.32)

47.23% (

-0.32)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.17% (

0.08)

4.83% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.54% (

0.24)

19.46% (

-0.24)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.93% (

-0.03)

46.07% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.23% (

-0.03)

81.77% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Celtic 82.09%

Hearts 6.45%

Draw 11.45%

Celtic	Draw	Hearts
3-0 @ 10.31% 2-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 8% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0) 6-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 7-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.46% Total : 82.09%	1-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.93% Total : 11.45%	1-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.7% Total : 6.45%