Scottish Premiership Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Celtic Park
  • Nicolas Kuhn 21' yellowcard
  • Arne Engels 51' goal
  • Luke McCowan 90' goal
  • yellowcard James Penrice 41'

Celtic vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Celtic

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Sep 1, 2024 12.30pm
Celtic 3 - 0 Rangers
Goals scored
112
Top scorer
Daizen Maeda

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last game
Sep 1, 2024 3.00pm
Hearts 0 - 1 Dundee Utd
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Lawrence Shankland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 82.1%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 6.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 3-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.22%), while for a Hearts win it was 1-2 (2.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result

Celtic 82.1% (+0.20)
Draw 11.45% (-0.12)
Hearts 6.45% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.33% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 73.21% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 26.79% (-0.26)
Over 3.5 52.77% (+0.32)
Under 3.5 47.23% (-0.32)
Over 4.5 33.33% (+0.31)
Under 4.5 66.67% (-0.31)

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5 95.17% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 4.83% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 80.54% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 19.46% (-0.25)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5 53.93% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 46.07% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 18.23% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 81.77% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Celtic 82.09%
Draw 11.45%
Hearts 6.45%
Celtic
3-0 @ 10.31%
2-0 @ 10.21% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 8% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.92% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 7.82% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 6.74% (-0.08)
4-1 @ 6.06% (+0.04)
5-0 @ 4.74% (+0.06)
5-1 @ 3.67% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.01)
6-0 @ 2.39% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 2.35% (+0.02)
6-1 @ 1.86% (+0.03)
5-2 @ 1.42% (+0.02)
7-0 @ 1.04% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.46%
Total : 82.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.22% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 3.07% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 2.22% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 11.45%
Hearts
1-2 @ 2.03% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 1.72% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 6.45%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Gameweek 35
May 4, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Celtic Park
  • Kyogo Furuhashi 4' goal
  • Kyogo Furuhashi 21' goal
  • Matt O'Riley 87' goal
  • yellowcard Lawrence Shankland 18'
  • yellowcard Cameron Devlin 52'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 29
Mar 3, 2024 12.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Jorge Grant 43' goal
  • Lawrence Shankland 56' goal
  • Alex Cochrane 86' yellowcard
  • Macauley Tait 90'+4' yellowcard
  • redcard Hyun-Jun Yang 16'
  • yellowcard Alistair Johnston 81'
  • yellowcard Daniel Kelly 89'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 18
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Celtic Park
  • Daizen Maeda 52' yellowcard
  • goal Lawrence Shankland 15'
  • goal Stephen Kingsley 30'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 2.15pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT Tynecastle Park
  • Kenneth Vargas 58' yellowcard
  • Toby Sibbick 59' yellowcard
  • Lawrence Shankland 64' goal
  • goal Matt O'Riley 4'
  • goal Matt O'Riley 4'
  • goal Daizen Maeda 23'
  • goal Kyogo Furuhashi 51'
  • goal Tomoki Iwata 81'
  • yellowcard Tomoki Iwata 90'+2'
Scottish Premiership Gameweek 34
May 7, 2023 2.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Tynecastle Park
  • goal Kyogo Furuhashi 67'
  • goal Hyun-Gyu Oh 80'
Scottish Cup
Mar 11, 2023 12.15pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Tynecastle Park
  • goal Aaron Mooy 2'
  • goal Kyogo Furuhashi 45'
  • goal Cameron Carter-Vickers 80'