Scottish Premiership
Gameweek
15
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Gerald Taylor
8'
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Gerald Taylor
8'
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Toyosi Olusanya
13'
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Toyosi Olusanya
13'
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Toyosi Olusanya
34'
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Toyosi Olusanya
34'
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Jaden Brown
40'
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Jaden Brown
40'
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Caolan Boyd-Munce
65'
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Craig Halkett
18'
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Craig Halkett
18'
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Stephen Kingsley
33'
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Stephen Kingsley
33'
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Jorge Grant
44'
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Jorge Grant
44'
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Lawrence Shankland
85'
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Beni Baningime
85'
St Mirren vs Hearts - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
Result
St Mirren
40.04%
▼
(-0.10)
Draw
25.53%
▲
(+0.04)
Hearts
34.43%
▲
(+0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
55.58%
▼
(-0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.67%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 2.5
48.33%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 3.5
29.52%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 3.5
70.47%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 4.5
14.34%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 4.5
85.65%
▲
(+0.10)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5
76.12%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 0.5
23.87%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 1.5
41.93%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 1.5
58.06%
▲
(+0.18)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5
73.01%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
26.98%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
37.66%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
62.33%
▲
(+0.06)
Score analysis
St Mirren
40.04%
Draw
25.52%
Hearts
34.43%
St Mirren
1-0
@
9.23%
▲
(+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.66% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.61% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 40.04%
2-1 @ 8.66% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.61% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.13% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 40.04%
Draw
1-1
@
12.08%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.44% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.52%
0-0 @ 6.44% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.52%
Hearts
0-1
@
8.44%
▲
(+0.05)
1-2 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 34.43%
1-2 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.53% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 34.43%