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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 10
Oct 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Kilmarnock logo

Hearts
1 - 2
Kilmarnock

Forrest (44')
Penrice (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kennedy (58'), Vassell (63')
Vassell (52'), Kennedy (65'), Watkins (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hibernian 1-1 Hearts
Sunday, October 27 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 2-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
HeartsDrawKilmarnock
49.96% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)24.43% (0.013999999999999 0.01)25.61% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.22% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.16% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)47.84% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.98% (-0.029 -0.03)70.03% (0.035000000000011 0.04)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.82% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)19.18% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.15% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)50.85% (0.052 0.05)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)32.92% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)69.49% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 49.96%
    Kilmarnock 25.61%
    Draw 24.43%
HeartsDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 10.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.61% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.74% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 49.96%
1-1 @ 11.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.43%
0-1 @ 7.02% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.9% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.97%
0-3 @ 1.44% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 25.61%

How you voted: Hearts vs Kilmarnock

Hearts
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
Kilmarnock
8.3%
60
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Kilmarnock
0-0
Hearts
Mayo (36'), Wright (44'), Donnelly (61'), Findlay (89')
Mar 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Hearts
1-1
Kilmarnock
Vargas (10')
Kent (27'), Cochrane (65')
Watkins (67')
Armstrong (28'), Deas (63')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Kilmarnock
0-1
Hearts

Dennis (40'), Watson (68')
Dennis (18' og.)
Nieuwenhof (79')
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Kilmarnock
1-2
Hearts
Lyons (68')
Grant (40'), Lowry (90+2')
Grant (50'), Haring (60'), Nieuwenhof (88'), Sibbick (90+6')
Aug 13, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Hearts
0-0
Kilmarnock
Shankland (30'), Devlin (40'), Atkinson (55')
Armstrong (67'), Lyons (85'), McKenzie (90+3'), Donnelly (90+5')