Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 49.96% ( | 24.43% ( | 25.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.22% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.16% ( | 47.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.98% ( | 70.03% ( |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.82% ( | 19.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.15% ( | 50.85% ( |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.09% ( | 32.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.51% ( | 69.49% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% ( 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 2-0 @ 8.61% ( 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 3-0 @ 4.74% ( 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 4-2 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 3.1% Total : 49.96% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 3-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0-2 @ 3.9% ( 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 25.61% |