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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Dundee United

Kilmarnock
3 - 3
Dundee Utd

Watson (47', 58'), Watkins (64')
Armstrong (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Moult (21'), Sibbald (79'), Graham (90+9' pen.)
Docherty (69'), Moult (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Dundee United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Mirren 2-2 Kilmarnock
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 2-1 Dundee Utd
Friday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
KilmarnockDrawDundee United
33.45% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)25.96% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)40.59% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.9% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.6% (0.070999999999998 0.07)50.4% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.66% (0.061 0.06)72.34% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.4% (0.024000000000001 0.02)28.59% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.6% (0.030000000000001 0.03)64.39% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.48% (0.046999999999997 0.05)24.51% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.02% (0.067 0.07)58.98% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 33.45%
    Dundee United 40.59%
    Draw 25.96%
KilmarnockDrawDundee United
1-0 @ 8.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.49% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 33.45%
1-1 @ 12.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 9.86% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.93%
1-3 @ 4.07% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 40.59%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd

Kilmarnock
35.3%
Draw
17.6%
Dundee United
47.1%
17
Head to Head
May 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Dundee Utd
0-3
Kilmarnock

Mulgrew (64')
Vassell (14', 44'), Cameron (83')
Lyons (26')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Feb 1, 2023 7.45pm
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Dundee Utd
4-0
Kilmarnock
Freeman (11'), McGrath (23'), Middleton (29'), Levitt (73')
Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Kilmarnock
2-1
Dundee Utd
Lafferty (8' pen.), Armstrong (73')
Middleton (10')
rhs 2.0


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