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Scottish League Cup | Quarter-Finals
Sep 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Fir Park
Dundee United

Motherwell
2 - 1
Dundee Utd

Robinson (45+1'), Miller (90+1' pen.)
McGinn (61'), Zdravkovski (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moult (83')
Sibbald (45+3'), Adegboyega (54'), Gallagher (85'), Ubochioma (87'), Docherty (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish League Cup clash between Motherwell and Dundee United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-1 Motherwell
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Dundee United

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Dundee Utd 0-1 Rangers
Sunday, September 15 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawDundee United
38.63% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)25.47%35.9% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 56.03% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.14% (0.010000000000005 0.01)47.85% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.96% (0.009999999999998 0.01)70.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.61% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)24.39% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.19% (-0.052 -0.05)58.8% (0.052 0.05)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.1% (0.050999999999988 0.05)25.89% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.12% (0.067 0.07)60.88% (-0.067 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 38.63%
    Dundee United 35.9%
    Draw 25.47%
MotherwellDrawDundee United
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 38.63%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 8.53% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.13% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.77% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.6% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.58% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 35.9%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Dundee Utd

Motherwell
40.0%
Draw
14.0%
Dundee United
46.0%
50
Head to Head
May 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Motherwell
3-2
Dundee Utd
Van Veen (5'), Spittal (69'), Johnston (82')
Miller (52'), Blaney (56')
McGrath (31' pen.), Fletcher (49')
> Match Report
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 32
Motherwell
1-2
Dundee Utd
Van Veen (22')
Niskanen (63'), McGrath (71' pen.)
> Preview
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 13
Dundee Utd
0-1
Motherwell
Johansen (22')
> Preview
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Motherwell
0-0
Dundee Utd
Slattery (55'), McGinn (69')
McGrath (2')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Dundee Utd
1-0
Motherwell
Levitt (37')
Mulgrew (56'), Smith (88'), Sporle (90')

Goss (55'), Mugabi (76'), Slattery (87')
> Preview