Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.