Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 5

Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK

Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen
2 - 1
Motherwell

Gueye (27', 81')
Heltne Nilsen (23'), Rubezic (64'), Gueye (71'), Besuijen (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ebiye (88')
O'Donnell (23'), Zdravkovski (23'), Robinson (52'), Vale (67'), McGinn (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Ross County 0-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, August 31 at 5.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Motherwell

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: St Johnstone 1-2 Motherwell
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 18.29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aberdeen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.

Result
Aberdeen	Draw	Motherwell
58.96% ( 0.7)	22.75% ( -0.13)	18.29% ( -0.57)

Both teams to score 49.61% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.94% (

-0.29)

49.06% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.86% (

-0.26)

71.13% (

0.26)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.69% (

0.14)

16.3% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.12% (

0.25)

45.87% (

-0.25)

Motherwell Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.28% (

-0.82)

40.72% (

0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.69% (

-0.75)

77.3% (

0.74)

Score Analysis

Aberdeen 58.96%

Motherwell 18.29%

Draw 22.74%

Aberdeen	Draw	Motherwell
1-0 @ 12.04% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 58.96%	1-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.74%	0-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.01% Total : 18.29%