Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Motherwell in this match.